Ohio and Iowa are considered to be toss-ups this November according to the nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report. This means that the presidential race in these states can go either way.
Cook shifted the races in both states that Trump carried in 2016 from ‘lean Republican’ to ‘toss up’ after new polls show a much more competitive race this time around.
In Iowa, the Des Moines Register survey showed Trump and Biden in a tie at 47 percent. The New York Times/Sienna College poll shows Biden leading Trump by 3 points 45 percent to 42 percent and the Monmouth University poll shows Trump leading Biden by 6 points 50-44 percent.
In Ohio, Cook cited the Fox News poll showing Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50–45%. An earlier Fox News poll from May had Biden up by 2 points, 45 percent to 43 percent.
Biden doesn’t need to win Ohio and Iowa to get to 270 electoral votes, Trump must win these states if he is to be re-elected.
Cook also labels Georgia, Florida, and North Carolina, all states that were critical to Trump’s 2016 victory as ‘toss-up’.